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Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine ; (12): 789-795, 2012.
Article in English | WPRIM | ID: wpr-819591

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE@#To conduct for modeling spatial distribution of malaria transmission in Iran.@*METHODS@#Records of all malaria cases from the period 2008-2010 in Iran were retrieved for malaria control department, MOH&ME. Metrological data including annual rainfall, maximum and minimum temperature, relative humidity, altitude, demographic, districts border shapefiles, and NDVI images received from Iranian Climatologic Research Center. Data arranged in ArcGIS.@*RESULTS@#99.65% of malaria transmission cases were focused in southeast part of Iran. These transmissions had statistically correlation with altitude (650 m), maximum (30 °C), minimum (20 °C) and average temperature (25.3 °C). Statistical correlation and overall relationship between NDVI (118.81), relative humidity (⩾45%) and rainfall in southeast area was defined and explained in this study.@*CONCLUSIONS@#According to ecological condition and mentioned cut-off points, predictive map was generated using cokriging method.


Subject(s)
Humans , Altitude , Climate , Disease Outbreaks , Ecology , Humidity , Incidence , Iran , Epidemiology , Likelihood Functions , Linear Models , Malaria , Epidemiology , Models, Statistical , Rain , Spatial Analysis
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